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New paradigm needed to mitigate brain drain in the Middle East: INSEAD has role to play

The United Arab Emirates (UAE) is an interesting case study in human capital, in part because there are few places in the world where you will find a predominantly expatriate workforce. While the economies of this and other oil-rich countries are still robust, the long-term effects of relying on transient foreign talent could very well derail progress for future generations.

This thorny subject was one of the talking points at a panel discussion ‘Learning in and from the Arab World’ involving leaders in the private and public sectors, at the first INSEAD Leadership Summit Middle East held in Abu Dhabi.

“We did some forecasting with the UAE, maybe a year and a half ago, before the real financial crisis hit. And the forecast said ... the UAE needs around about a quarter of a million skilled, qualified people a year to help the economy keep growing,” says David Arkless, President of Corporate and Government Affairs, Manpower Inc, the largest employer in the UAE outside of government.

The UAE is going to be unable to produce enough children “to fuel that economic growth. So therefore there are a couple of givens here. And one of the big givens it that this region will always depend on immigrant labour to a certain extent,” Arkless told INSEAD Knowledge.

Take the oil and gas sector for example, which too is experiencing a brain drain. According to Sultan Al-Hajji, Deputy General Manager of oil and gas company Total Abu Al Bukhoosh, this sector will lose 40 per cent of its skilled engineers in the next five years because workers are leaving faster than they are coming in.

That shortfall in local talent, says Sherif El Diwany, the Director, Head of Middle East and Arab Business Council, World Economic Forum, should not be viewed as a threat but rather as an opportunity.

Tapping the untapped youth market

One of the reasons why the Middle East is experiencing a labour shortage is the untapped youth market, so says David Arkless, President of Corporate and Government Affairs at Manpower Inc.

“All of the young people being born are not automatically or necessarily going into the workforce. So we have an average unemployment rate of young people in the Arab world of over 30 per cent. Now that is a serious problem. If you come to somewhere like the United Arab Emirates it's not as much of a problem -- less than seven per cent. If you go to Egypt it's 47 per cent,” Arkless told INSEAD Knowledge on the sidelines of the Leadership Summit Middle East. “It's the potential for social unrest when 50 per cent of the unemployment in this whole region is young people -- because what do young people do when they've got nothing to do? There's a potential for fundamentalism and leaning to that side of society. So one of the biggest issues I see for this region is, first of all, how do we get long-term unemployed young people into the workforce?”

Women could also help boost the pool of non-expatriate talent workers.

“There is an increasing number of women in the advanced education stages, which is -- it seems that at first glance -- an encouraging trend,” says Sherif El Diwany, Director, Head of Middle East and Arab Business Council, World Economic Forum.

“However if we look at this objectively and calmly, we can realise that this is also a reflection of certain social transformation that this region is going through."

El Diwany is referring to the cultural dilemma faced by working women in the Arab World, about whether they should put career over family, though the latter is highly favoured by society.

“I think we'll continue keeping our guard up and be attentive to this phenomenon and to understand additional circumstances or variables that will actually effectively open up opportunities to be equal between young men and young women in society, to allow them to compete on equal footing.”

INSEAD, he adds, could “definitely play a role inviting this kind of celebration of successful women in society.”

Likewise, Arkless believes that INSEAD can help play a role in addressing the problem of youth unemployment. “I think there is a role in this region because we don't see too much great research going on in this area of what is the future of the workforce.”

“How can you get people into work in a culturally acceptable way in this region -- be it long-term unemployed, be it marginalised young workers with apparently the wrong ideological views? How do you get them into a job? Because if people get into a job, then they get some pride and they start to develop. It's a good cycle all around.”

“I think it's important that any country, anywhere in the world, if it wants to succeed, then it goes for the best talent, it buys the best service anywhere in the world. There's absolutely nothing to be ashamed of or worried about in that sense. And therefore having an expatriate labour force ... is not a problem.

Countries, he adds, should instead concern themselves more with being able to attract the best talent in the world regardless of nationality, by providing them with a high standard of living for their families -- because a happy workforce is also a productive one.

While Abu Dhabi’s leaders have also acknowledged that foreign talent has indeed helped spur its economic growth, they have come to appreciate that the issue lies not so much in retention of that talent, but in the transfer of knowledge to the locals when the expatriates are long gone.

“This country has been, from the 70s, benefiting from foreign expertise, and is still doing so for realising all of its vision. Even in the modernisation process that we went through in the last four years, the focus has been institutional because we had that leverage of that foreign expertise and we’re still keen on maintaining that,” says Ali Al Ketbi, Assistant Secretary General, Public Administration, General Secretariat of the Abu Dhabi Executive Council.

“Now what we lack is that mechanism which transferred that knowledge and then institutionalised it, so it is benefitted on individual and organisation, and community at large.”

That transfer of institutional knowledge -- or the know-how to do it -- is where the panellists believe schools such as INSEAD have a pivotal role to play.

“This region, if it wants to grow economically, is stuck with the requirement for foreign immigrant labour,” says Arkless. “The question is how do you manage and framework that immigrant labour? How do you develop bilateral treaties and relationships with other countries, specifically the subcontinent and the Philippines and other places to get some circulatory work migration in place, where qualified workers come to the countries of the Gulf and the rest of the Arab world, contribute something and pass on their skills to local people?”

El Diwany thinks these questions can point to a solution. “I think you need to look at the knowledge capture of the institution -- how it captures knowledge in the public domain, how to capture knowledge, document it, transfer it, pass it on and how to continuously update it and share it accordingly. And this could be an area where institutions like INSEAD and others that are present here could focus and assist in helping public institutions deal with that challenge.

Arkless shares that view: “One of the roles that an organisation like INSEAD could play is to provide longer-term research, development, an intellectual think-tank that could change not just scientific or management things for the future, get a new mentality, but can change policy practice from where it is today of great ideas, very poor bureaucracy, therefore very poor implementation -- can help with the whole leadership and education process to transform that into a 21st century governmental paradigm.”

“The mere existence of INSEAD in Abu Dhabi is, in itself, a phenomenon” says Al-Hajji. “INSEAD is a catalyst for an exchange of ideas, exchange of culture, as a bridge of two cultures between the West and East. Let’s use this culture that it benefits all of us. Let us be a platform (in terms of a) think-tank to advance our country and the people who are associated with it.”

 

First published: February 8, 2010

Last updated: February 10, 2010

KC/KC 02/10



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